Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Agriculture Business A Good Investing Option

Agricultural businesses are miscellaneous and cover much more than a large farm or ranch. A person looking to start a business or buy an existing business in this area will need financing as well as particular knowledge. The accessibility of land to start a new agricultural business is a limiting ingredient these days as there even-handed is not that much land still not being refined. This means that a new publician will regularly have to find an agricultural business that is for sale. There are always family businesses for sale, but they do not become available at low prices these days.

The land is prized and the obtainable equipment if in good repair is also not comical. New equipment is priced like new cars are these days. The prices are higher and higher and out of prospect. Most new owners of ranches or farms were born into the family business and are condign bewitching over the running of a family or corporate deal. There are other related agricultural businesses that can be started from scratch or purchased from an existing lessor. These include farm supplies, farm equipment, nurseries, small special crop farms, pest control, a niche winery, crop dusting companies and horse or cattle ranches. All of these businesses can usually be found on the market. The problem, as with any other purchase of a business, is this. Can the buyer come up with enough money to interest the current owner and will the current owner carry back some of the paper. There are many very solid reasons that a new owner should consider buying an existing operation rather than starting a new company. The cost will be higher usually with a running business, but the existing business will have customers or a history of production.

Many of the related agricultural businesses will not take the capital to get started or to buy that is desirable for the purchase of a large ranch or farm. Farming now days is a capital concentrated business and this is one of the reasons that family units are always coming on the market. This opens the door for chance for the person looking to buy, but it also means that the buyer must have the capital or credit to make the purchase. A proposal for a potential buyer is contact brokers who specialized in these businesses and see what is being offered and the terms of the offers. This will quickly notify the buyer what they are going to need to make a sale ensue.

If you are interested in buying an agricultural business that supports the farming community, then your capital expend may be considerably lower and may show a higher percentage return on investment. Farming has a low return on invested capital since the price of land and equipment has sky rocketed in this current market. Some of the other particular businesses can be purchased or started with less capital and the percentage return is significantly higher. These are factors that should be considered by a potential new owner. One of the reasons that the family units come to market is just this fact. The old owners die or wish to retire and their children do not with to continue the business. So they put it up for sale, knowing they can get a better return on their money without the work or the risk of farming. Brokers usually know why a property is being offered and this knowledge can help the buyer make a better deal with the old owner. Maybe just as a matter of principal, they want to see their farm remain a family farm and not part of a large agricultural corporation.

The greatest advice that a potential owner can get is study the market and make sure you have the desired money to pull off whatever deal you are looking at. Find a knowledgeable broker and ask lots of questions. Use the Internet to look up answers to questions that you come across.

Agriculture Investing - The Basic Picture for Investors

An expanding population, scarcity of resources and a changing climate happen to be three trends that define current times. Alone, each part constitutes a uppermost issue, but when combined and intertwined as they are, they become all the more set. As time passes, the paths of these factors will become all the more linked and their effect upon the global economy will become ever more pronounced. Sectors at the nexus of this coming together submission investors the best prospects for capital growth and income in the short, mid and long - term.

The agricultural sector is wholly positioned to returns advantage of these fundamental changes in demand for food and our apparent inability to deliver it. Demand for agricultural wares is ballooning, and will run on to do so as demand for food from an extra 75 million people per annum, a shift to high protein handout in developing nations, and the use of food crops as an energy source by way of biofuels drive fresh demand. Ultimately at the alike time increasing our capacity to supply these products is diminishing, a reality that can be blamed on a multitude of factors including climate change, a definite lack of further farmland and diminishing yield increases from the green revolution.

Production of grains, as measured on a per capita basis, started to decline around the mid 1980 ' s and the availability of agricultural land per person started to fall in the very early 1960 ' s.

Two years ago In 2008, grain stocks were at their lowest even for over four decades and resulted in the biggest spike in agricultural business prices since records began.

Of course we saw these price correct themselves towards the end of the year, Someday since and so price have lengthened their rising trend despite the recent financial crisis reigning in demand. The global food supply sits in a precarious position, pressured from above and below by both increases in real demand and limits to increasing supply.

It could therefore be argued that the land that is capable of producing such commodities will become a more valuable resource as time passes. It is then safe to say that Investors savvy enough to look at agriculture investing by way of investing in farmland will be best positioned to take advantage of this supply and demand mis - match.

Here are the facts:

The global population expands by over 200, 000 people daily.

The current population sits around 6. 7 billion people and there are approximately 1, 402 million hectares of farmland, 138 million hectares of perennial agricultural land and 3, 433 million hectares of meadows or what could be termed pasture to feed this amount of people.

The grand total of food - producing land on the planet amounts to about 4, 973 million hectares. this means that each person on the planet has about 0. 74 hectares when you include all types of agricultural land. Bear in mind that this land must also continue to produce all of our cotton and rubber, as well as every ounce of grain and meat, and grain to feed the meat, and the biofuels that we all require.

These calculations lead us to conclude that, based on current levels of agricultural productivity, we require an extra 148, 460 hectares of land every single day to feed the 200, 000 or so new mouths to feed. This equates to a total area of land, solely to grow crops, that is approximately the size of Greater London, or 100 % larger than New York City, Tokyo and Singapore combined.

The real picture is alarmingly different, where we should be adding a huge amount of land to agricultural production on a daily basis, we are in fact reducing the amount of land available for agricultural purposes and for the last three years the total area of farmland has diminished substantially.

These numbers demonstrate dramatically the challenges posed to feeding an ever - expanding population with a strained farming base. This has led to sharp increases in farmland prices across the world and the value of good quality agricultural land is driven by rising demand and diminishing. To be more specific, continued rising demand for the commodities produced by farmland, i. e. food, will continue to drive values higher, whilst at the same time, restrictions on expanding the amount of farmland place a downward pressure on supply, again pushing up values.

It is a complex picture with many factors to measure and take into account. As commodity prices rise, demand for land increases, and supply also rises if more land is brought to production. At the same time, if yields increase then less land is required, but if production capacity is lost, as we are more often witnessing due to climate change, urbanisation and land degradation it is more likely that more land, which is not available will be needed, therefore existing farmland becomes more valuable and prices rise.

Farmland investment should be viewed at worst as a mid - term strategy and ideally as a long - term hold, but understanding the short - term fundamental drivers such as commodity prices allows the savvy investor to identify the best opportunities to purchase. The objective of the Investor should be to clearly understand the longer term trends, thus empowering the investor to make the correct decisions.

It is my opinion that investing in farmland will provide the investor with by far the best opportunity for mid to long - term capital appreciation and sustainable income. Choosing the right market in which to invest should be a decision taken based on the current pricing of the asset compared to its true value.

A lack of credit and depressed market sentiment are also playing a role in presenting off - market opportunities for investors to acquire assets at good prices, and a very simple analysis of the revenues generated from a farm, minus production costs, will tell the Investors if that land is good value. If one were to buy farmland in the UK at today ' s average price of around 14, 000 per hectare, we know that we could grow 7. 5 tonnes of wheat and sell it for around 160 per tonne creating a revenue of 1, 200, minus production costs of about 300, leaves a net annual income of 900 for a 14, 000 investment, equating to an annual return of 6. 4 %. Buy farmland in south America for $4, 000 per hectare and your ROI shoots to around 16 %, and in Australia you can buy land so cheaply right now that you could return an income equivalent to 40 % annually.

Many opportunities exist for private investors to take advantages of these trends without taking on the complex operational responsibilities associated with farmland ownership. For more information on farmland investment opportunities available for private investors, contact David Garner at DGC Asset Management.

Thursday, October 4, 2012

Investing in Agriculture Stocks May Be a Profitable Move

I mash earnings season. It ' s a great time to capitalize on the babble of the market. It also gives us an fortuity to profit by simply trading options. If you mind back in October I pointed out a trade. One of the solar companies was going to announce their earnings. Most of their competitors had announced record results driving the stocks significantly higher. We were right and people untrue money.

I see another trade like that footing up right now... but in a opposed industry.

Now, this trade isn ' t for the faint of heart. It ' s exposed. But the profits could be good as well. First a petite involvement.

We all know how well products have done over the last few months and years. To add fuel to the fire, China continues to drive demand for food - related goods. News of hoarding grains like rice and corn are also floating around.

Haphazard to report, everyone loves the agricultural merchandise.

As a eventuality, the companies providing products and services to the agricultural industry are thriving. Uncolored inspection at DuPont ( DD ). The company announced earnings Tuesday. The strength of their business was found in agriculture. First venue profits were up 26 %... all due to increasing demand for its seed products and agricultural chemicals.

Now the stock is down a bit, but that ' s because they indicated product sales were slow in other groups, namely automotive and construction.

Yet another signpost.

Monsanto ( MON ), the giant agricultural products supplier announced their earnings on April 2. They had previously raised guidance in March. So everyone knows the agricultural products industry is white hot. In the earnings announcement management highlighted expectations of a 58 % to 63 % earnings growth this year! When Monsanto earnings hit the tape the stock rallied.

Monsanto had traded as low as $105 on the day of the announcement. It hit $124 over the next few days... and continued higher.

So, what ' s next.

On April 24, Potash ( POT ) is going to announce earnings at 1: 00 pm eastern time. If you trade this stock just right, you might make some money.

Now for those of you who don ' t know, Potash is a very interesting company. They ' re the world ' s largest potash company. They ' re also the third largest phosphate producer and the second largest nitrogen producer in the world. All of these products are needed in the agricultural industry.

The company has been selling these agricultural products since 1953, and it looks like they ' re on track for a record year.

Some interesting news.

Just a few days ago Potash announced a significant price increase of their products to China. Prices went up more than $400 per ton on " red standard grade potash. " Now this isn ' t the first price increase for the company.

Nope. A few days earlier on April 9th, they raised rates for North America. And a few days prior to that, they raised prices in South East Asia and Latin America. Basically prices are up around the world.

Increasing prices is always difficult. You run the risk of customers either not buying your product or searching for a new supplier. What Potash basically said was " we don ' t care. "

Like the Godfather they made ' em an offer they couldn ' t refuse.

Now think about this for a moment. If you can push through a major price increase on your best customers, then you have substantial power in price negotiations. This means there ' s more demand than supply in the market place.

And since Potash controls the supply, they control the price.

So what does this all boil down to? I ' m trying to figure out if Potash is going to make their numbers on Thursday. Something tells me they will. I think not only will they make their numbers; they ' ll beat ' em.

But there ' s a risk.

Lots of people already see what we see. This big home run may already be priced into the stock. If that ' s the case, the stock might go nowhere on the news. It might even go down. And of course there ' s the wild card. You never know what management is going to say about future expectations. They could throw everyone a curveball and the stock might get destroyed.

I find it hard to believe that will happen.... but you never know.

The last time Potash announced earnings was back in January. The stock traded as low as $105. A few days later it had rallied to $144. Of course they announced record revenue, EBITDA, and profits.

So how can we profit this time around?

Buying calls on Potash is one way to profit if the stock jumps in value. I looked at the short term options. Right now, you can buy May calls on Potash with a strike of $210 for about $15 each. If you put on this trade, you ' d profit when the stock rallied above $225. That ' s a $28 point move in the stock.

I know what you ' re thinking, these options are expensive. They are. There ' s an advanced options trading technique that can lower your cost dramatically, but it also limits your profits. It ' s known as a Call Bull Spread.

First you buy a close to the money call option and at the same time sell a call option at a higher strike price. Your maximum profit would occur when the stock trades above the higher strike price. It ' s a way to potentially gather some profits, but remember, if the stock doesn ' t move in the right direction, you can lose your entire investment.

As with any option trade there are risks. Make sure you ' re comfortable with and fully understand the risks and rewards of every trade - before you buy a position.

Monday, October 1, 2012

Investing for Retirement - is it right

Retirement could be a long means off for you or it may be right about the corner. No element how near or far - off it is, youve utterly got to enter upon saving for it now. However, saving for retirement isnt what it in use to be with the increase in price of living and the instability of social security. You have to commit for your retirement, as opposed to saving for it!

Allows lead by fascinating a stare at the retirement program proposed by your company. Once upon a time, these plans were quite sound. However, soon soon after the Enron upset and all that accompanied, people arent as secure in their company retirement plans anymore. If you pick out not to invest in your companys retirement program, you do have other alternatives.

First, you can commit in shares, bonds, mutual funds, certificates of deposit, and money marketplace accounts. You do not have to state to anybody that the returns on they investments are to be used for retirement. Simply plainly Allow your wealth cultivate overtime, and when certain investments reach their maturity, reinvest their special necessities and carry on to Allow your income cultivate.

You can too open an Individual Retirement Reason ( IRA ). IRAs are quite well populated as the wealth is not taxed until you withdraw the funds. You may also be able to deduct your IRA contributions from the taxes that you owe. An IRA can be opened at most banks. A ROTH IRA is a fresher kind of retirement Reason. With a Roth, you pay taxes on the wealth that you are investing in your Reason, but when you money out, no federal taxes are due. Roth IRAs can as definitely be opened at a financial institution.

Other well populated type of retirement Account is the 401 ( k ). 401 ( ks ) are normally given through employers, but you could be capable to open a 401 ( k ) on your own. You should speak with a fiscal planner or accountant to assist you with this. The Keogh program is Other sort of IRA that is suitable for self employed persons. Self - employed tiny line of work owners may as definitely be interested in Simplified Employee Pension plans ( SEP ). This is Other form of Keogh program that men and ladies typically find easier to administer than a regular Keogh plan.

Whichever retirement investment you choose, Simply make sure you choose one! Again, do not depend on public safety, company retirement designs, or even out an inheritance that could or may not come up through! Get attention of your financial future by investing in it today.

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Investing in Brazil, Why it ' s become so popular

Introduction

Brazil is a huge country. With an area of 8. 5 Million square Kilometres and a population of over 200 million people, the country is the worlds fifth largest on both counts.

As a execution of its impressive growth in recent years, Brazil has the largest economy in Latin America, the second largest in the western hemisphere and the sixth largest in the world ( in fact, at the end of last year it overtook the United Suzerainty in terms of national GDP ). As a upshot, Brazil is widely practical as one of the globes up - and - coming nations. Indeed, its a leading performer in the BRICS association of countries ( Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa ), a body of states specific as moving towards economic prominence ( if not actual

clutch ) as the century progresses.

Internally, totally, theres been a steady transformation in the lives of the people. In the last couple of decades, for instance, persistent dash by Brazils governments has done much to decrease poverty and increase educational and employment opportunities for its body politic.

This is very much a side of the current administration led by Eminence Dilma Rousseff, crib on the achievements of the famous Lula and several other notable predecessors.

Of course, poverty and poor life chances do still crop up but to a much junior extent than before, and they stay on to decrease, slowly but exactly. Its overjoyed that recent statistics fanfare that for the first time ever ( and monotonous unique in poll - world terms ), the so - called middle class are now an absolute majority, 52 % of the population.

Brazil has been working hard to develop its economy and infrastructure. To do so involves financial investment of different kinds, public sector, private sector and from overseas. As regards these the coalition government has sponsored or encouraged a number of interesting initiatives, often involving co - operation between the various sectors.

These public / private partnerships are known in other parts of the world, too, and take many different forms. In Brazil, perhaps the most successful example is the so - called Minha Casa Minha Vida affordable housing programme. This is a new idea in this country and is having a transforming effect on society.

Under this programme, and for the very first time, millions of ordinary citizens of relatively modest means are able to buy ( with affordable mortgages ) homes of their own. Private investment fuels the government - backed scheme, with high returns already being received by initial investors.

This is just one of the novel approaches encouraged by recent governments and it is running in tandem with other broader improvements. These include public education, health and sanitation as well as industrial and agricultural initiatives.

Brazil is rapidly becoming not just a developing economy but an almost developed one.

Internal / Domestic

Investment in Brazil ( as in most other countries ) consists of two main types, the domestic and the foreign. Either of them can involve either private or public - sector finance of course and in some cases a mixture of the two.

Results can be very varied and the picture is highly complex, with many Brazilian companies going global and many foreign - based corporations operating in the country.

Also, this leading BRICS nation is a member of many different international organisations

However, the national conditions of the country and the governments direction of investment have themselves brought about tremendous changes in the country in recent years. Although the process was started before, the present coalition Government and its immediate predecessor have managed a dramatic transformation in the lives of the people. Theyve done this by managing a difficult set of conditions in a complicated balancing act, seeking to control interest rates, inflation and GDP together with housing, educational and health initiatives.

Currently, the basic Selic rate of interest is slowly inching down, heading for single figures. Inflation is at 6. 5 % and GDP growth is at 3 % per year. Other facts include the countrys very important achievement of oil self - sufficiency this decade. In addition, the increased stability brought about by the historically new ( - ish ) currency, the Real has further improved the economic climate since its introduction in 1994. As for the balance of payments, Exports now comfortably exceed imports and the four biggest overseas markets are China, the USA, Argentina and Germany, in that order and together accounting for 42 % of all exports.

All these features create a favourable background for people wishing to invest in Brazil, especially in the main industries; iron and steel, oil, coal, aircraft manufacturing and textiles of all kinds. Property is an up - and - coming field too, which will feature in an article later in this series.

One must also pay close attention to the 20 % of the workforce who are employed in agriculture. This is a multi - million Real expanding sector with more than its share of recent controversy. These are centred on GMOs ( Genetically Modified Organisms ), increasingly employed to boost yields and make crops more durablebut at too great a cost to environmental safety, some would say.

Investments are made by governments, companies and individuals for a mixture of reasons. While it seems obvious that seeking the best and the fastest profitable returns is a prime motivator, there are other purposes such as the perceived ' social good ' of a particular enterprise.

In Brazil these days this is certainly true of the public sector projects of course but perhaps surprisingly, also of some of the infrastructure improving projects such as those to do with renewable energy. This includes bio - fuels such as ethanol but also, modest so far but increasing, wind power. Hydro was significant previously ( and still is to some extent ) but has proved susceptible to drought lowering river and dam levels. This led to a determined move to diversify to other renewable sources. The outcome is that a clear majority of the energy produced in Brazil today is from these non - carbon origins.